Investigating mean reversion in financial markets using Hurst Model

نویسندگان

چکیده

In the dynamic world of financial markets, prices assets can exhibit dramatic fluctuations, sometimes soaring to dizzying heights or plummeting alarming lows. However, amidst chaos, a fascinating phenomenon emerges: tendency for revert back their long-term average mean level. This concept known as reversion has intrigued traders, investors, and researchers decades. Understanding provides valuable insights into market dynamics, investor behavior, potential profitable trading strategies. The aim this study was empirically investigate in markets. employed Hurst model sample five markets from June 1, 2018 2023. findings revealed that four out sampled reversion, which challenges efficient hypothesis concept. Therefore, portfolio managers active participants utilize memory optimize asset allocation decisions by considering persistent effects past returns adjusting weights take advantage return predictability manage risk.

برای دانلود باید عضویت طلایی داشته باشید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Mean Reversion in Stock Index Futures Markets: a Nonlinear Analysis

written while he was a Visiting Scholar at the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. The authors are grateful to Abhay Abhyankar, Bernard Dumas, Mark Taylor, and Dick van Dijk for useful conversations or comments on previous drafts. The usual disclaimer applies, meaning that the authors alone are responsible for any errors that may remain and for the views expressed in the paper. *Correspondence a...

متن کامل

Mean-variance hedging in large financial markets

We consider a mean-variance hedging (MVH) problem for an arbitrage-free large financial market, i.e. a financial market with countably many risky assets modelled by a sequence of continuous semimartingales. By using the stochastic integration theory for a sequence of semimartingales developed in De Donno and Pratelli (2003), we extend the results about change of numéraire and MVH of Gourieroux,...

متن کامل

Correlation Network Evolution Using Mean Reversion Autoregression

In this paper, we present a new method for modeling timeevolving correlation networks, using a Mean Reversion Autoregressive Model, and apply this to stock market data. The work is motivated by the assumption that the price and return of a stock eventually regresses back towards their mean or average. This allows us to model the stock correlation time-series as an autoregressive process with a ...

متن کامل

Mean-reversion Jump-diffusion

From the spot prices we have to identify the following six parameters: α , μ, σ, Km , γ, Φ. If necessary, a seventh parameter, λ, should be identified from the futures prices. The six parameters mentioned above can be identified using the maximum likelihood method (Ball and Torous, 1983; Lien and Strom, 1999; Clewlow and Strickland, 2000) or the moments method (Lien and Strom, 1999; Deng, 1999)...

متن کامل

Investigating Multi-Fractality of Network Traffic Using Local Hurst Function

Long-range dependence (LRD) and self-similarity (SS) are two basic properties of network traffic time series. Fractional Brownian motion (fBm) and its increment process fractional Gaussian noise (fGn) are commonly used to model traffic with the Hurst index H that determines both the regularity of the sample paths and the long memory property of traffic. However, it appears too restrictive for t...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: International Journal of Research In Business and Social Science

سال: 2023

ISSN: ['2147-4478']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.20525/ijrbs.v12i6.2664